Understanding resilient urban futures: A systemic modelling approach

From our research team, this paper introduces an urban model that can be used to evaluate city resilience.

Pengjun Zhao, Ralph Chapman, Ed Randal, Philippa Howden-Chapman, Understanding resilient urban futures: A systemic modelling approach

The model considers the city (Wellington) as a complex system and explores the dynamic relations between human activities, environmental effects and potential natural disasters faced under different policy scenarios. This gives insights that may be useful for policy to enhance the city’s resilience, for example by modelling the potential for reduction in transportation energy use, or by examining changes in the vulnerability of the city’s housing stock and transport system to sea level rise.

Summary of the article (PDF)

Full article (PDF)

This paper is published in Sustainability, 2013, 5, 3202-3223

More on this research and the WILUTE model